17 Sep Real Estate Market September 17th Minnesota
Real Estate Market September 17th Minnesota
This is our MN real estate weekly update for September 17th, 2021. We are now in our fall Minnesota real estate season. With school starting and trees beginning to change color we know it has arrived.
Coronavirus concerns are increasing once again. Minneapolis and St. Paul do not require masks yet for most venues if you are vaccinated. Many restaurants are now requiring proof of vaccination to enter. We in the real estate industry are closely watching the Delta plus variant and the spreading within the unvaccinated community. If this trend of infections continues to rise, we will be back with limitations.
We review real estate facts and future trends
Currently we generally have slightly more buyers in the marketplace than homes for sale in many areas and certain price ranges (condos are an exception). In some areas and price ranges the opposite is true.
Our inventory of homes is a little less than last year. But with buyers falling out of the market, and with new listings continually added, we are quickly approaching a neutral real estate market. We do continue to see some multiple offers, but it is very location and price specific. Some areas are experiencing a dramatic slowdown in showings and offers. So, what does that mean to you? It means you should strongly consider working with an experienced real estate agent, who can give you suggestions and options, so you come out ahead. That means getting maximum sales price for your home in this changing market and/or be the happy buyer!
Here are some facts of our current market. Our current housing affordability Index for MN real estate is 131, and this compares to 145 this same time last year (July numbers). The higher the number means the greater home buying affordability in the Twin Cities. Our current inventory of available homes for sale is 7,913. In comparison, we had 9,614 in 2020. So, the inventory of homes for sale is down 17.7% from last year. This number has been decreasing since May with more homes coming on the market. An interesting point, in 2009 at the time of the market correction we had over 36,000 homes for sale in the entire Minneapolis/Saint Paul metro area. Lastly, the Minnesota real estate pending sales for the week before last, which have sold but not yet closed, was 1,303. That compares to 1,654 pending home sales last year (during the middle of the pandemic). That is a decrease of 21.1% from the same week last year. So, 12 of the last 14 weeks that number has decreased compared to last year. So, our pending sales are now decreasing, and our inventory of homes is generally now increasing (but still a little than last year). This is a trend of a slowing real estate market. Our monthly supply of homes reflects that…it is 1.4 month compared to 2.0 last year (July figures – will be going up for August).
Minnesota seller’s benefit financially when real estate values rise. The median sales price (still July numbers) increased by 11.9% since this time last year. $350,000 is now the median sales price in the Twin Cities area. A market health indicator is the comparison of our sales price to original list price. For July the average sale to list price was 103.6%. And that compares to 101.1% in 2020. This number will continue to go down when we receive the August numbers. For even more Minnesota real
estate market information visit my website at area appreciation rates. It features a comprehensive review of our Minnesota real estate market for those that like all the data!
Our current interest rates in the Twin Cities
Low interest rates substantially increase the buyer’s purchase power and the price range of a buyer’s home purchase. So, our low current interest rates are a real benefit to our MN real estate market. Mortgage companies love to provide mortgages to Minnesota home buyers because of our low delinquency and low unemployment rates. This results in a lower mortgage risk to lenders for Minnesota mortgages. That’s why we have some of the best home mortgage rates in all the United States. Rates are about the same from last week and the trend is rates rising in the distant future, but steady in the near term. Rates for borrower paid lender fees are 2.125% for VA, 2.125% for FHA and 2.5% for conventional. Rates for lender paid closing costs are 2.564% for VA, 2.487 for FHA and 3.067% for conventional. Just reach out to me if you need contact information of a lender with those interest rates.
My opinion of the future of Minnesota real estate
In the last 30 years I have seen many real estate markets. This is one I have not seen before. Our desire to have some normalcy will boost our economy, but shortage of workers will limit our growth. I predict this late fall will start to be a more sensible market as inventory meets demand and buyers fall out of the market.
Interest rates will continue to be historically low but trending up maybe late this year and next spring as the 10-year Treasury rate increases with the prospect of inflation raising its ugly head. But as the delta plus variant takes hold this could dramatically slow down our recovery and workers desire to return to work. So much is on the line for our country with controlling the spread of this terrible sickness.
This is a good time to discuss your housing needs for 2021!
Your house and your neighborhood Minnesota real estate market
We find that each price range and neighborhood have its own specific trends and facts. In so if you are interested in knowing the specifics for your home…Contact Jeff Today.