15 Jan Minnesota Real Estate Market January 15th
Minnesota Real Estate Market January 15th
Here is our January 15th, 2021, Minnesota real estate weekly update. Welcome to our winter real estate season. Last year was one for the history books. And I we all want it to end!
We have severe coronavirus concerns for our nation, the State of Minnesota, and the Minneapolis/St. Paul metro area. This includes wearing masks in all indoor spaces that started in July and the new restrictions that are now relaxing this week (see my update in late weeks newsletter). The Pandemic impacts our Minnesota real estate market and all other aspects of our life. We still do real estate business, just very differently. As an example, buyers are now driving their car to showings. The sellers are taking precautions like sanitizing their homes before and after showings. Showings are limited to 30 minutes and only one showing group is allowed in the house at a time. Buyers and agents are wearing mask during all showings. Also, real estate closings have changed with buyers and sellers in separate rooms and most times they simply pre-sign. Those only essential to the transaction can attend closings. That means no
agents or loan officers allowed. Lastly, we use virtual tours and lots of photos and that helps determine if the buyers want to see the home or make an offer-physically sight unseen. Open houses are rare and not recommending by the Board of Realtors.
We review real estate facts and trends
In the winter, the buyer pool normally diminishes as do homes for sale. COVID19 also continues to limit that buyer pool. Our inventory of homes is low and last week we down 25.8% for new listings from the same week in 2019. We continue to see some multiple offers, but that is diminishing each week in January. In this ever-changing real estate market what does that mean to you? It means you need a good real estate agent with experience coach you, so you accomplish your goals!
Facts are helpful since they give us insight into analyzing the trends and planning for the future. Still, it is our job to interpret the data. Our current affordability Index for Minnesota real estate is 150, compared to 151 last year at this same time. So, the higher the number means the greater the affordability. As of right now our inventory of available homes for sale is 5,511. For a comparison, we had 8,907 in 2019. So, in other words, the inventory of homes for sale is down 38.1% from last year. In further contrast, in 2009 we had over 30,000 homes for sale in the Minneapolis/Saint Paul metro area. Lastly, our Minnesota real estate pending sales for the week before last, which are those homes sold but not closed, was 653. In comparison to 558 pending home sales last year. As a result, we have 17% more pending sales than last year for that same week period. Our monthly supply of homes is at 1.3 compared to 2.2 last year at this time.
Minnesota seller’s benefit when real estate values rise. The median sales price increased by 10.7% since last year. $310,000 is now the median sales price in the Twin Cities area. A good market indicator is the comparison of our sales price to original list price. Our average sale to list price is currently 100.2%. And that compares to 97.5% last year. Also, an equally important indicator of market strength is the average days on the market. So, 34 average days on the market reflects a healthy, and brisk, Minnesota real estate market (that compares to 51 days last year at the same time).
Our current interest rates in the Twin Cities
Low interest rates increase the affordability of your home purchase. So, our current interest rates are a real benefit to Minnesota real estate. In fact, many mortgage companies love to provide mortgages to Minnesota home buyers. It is because of our low delinquency and unemployment rates. But most importantly our exceptionally low mortgage risk. As a result, we have some of the best home mortgage rates in the United States in our Twin Cities area. The mortgage interest rates are up a little from the same this week as last. That is due to the uncertainty in our political system and the terrible events of last week at our nation’s capital. These rates are still some of the best I have ever seen! Rates are 2.167% for VA, 2.159 for FHA and 2.4% for conventional. Just reach out to me if you need contact information of a lender with those rates.
My opinion of future Minnesota real estate trends
I have seen many types of real estate markets and trends in the last 30 years. But with coronavirus it makes this a more difficult winter and spring market to predict. But I believe from what I hear from many high-level business leaders and financial experts is that our economy has some rough times ahead. So, it is my opinion that we will have a limited amount of appreciation in 2021. We could have a little as evictions and business closures run their course this will affect Minnesota real estate demand. An increase in inventory is likely as people are forced to sell their home because of a job loss. But interest rates will continue to be historically low and the federal reserve says it will not raise rates next year. This is a good time to discuss your housing needs for 2021
Your house and your neighborhood Minnesota real estate market
We find that each price range and neighborhood have its own specific trends and facts. In so if you are interested in knowing the specifics for your home…Contact Jeff Today.