10 Jun Minnesota Real Estate Update

Minnesota Real Estate Update

This is our Minnesota real estate update for June 10th, 2022. We are experiencing record sale prices, historically low inventories, and multiple offers. But with raising interest rates our market slowing down as buyers come to grip with getting less house for the same payment. In addition, many buyers are electing to rent for another year although rents went up over thirty percent the last year nationwide.

Coronavirus? It is still out there and continuing to affect us. It seems everyone knows someone with it right now. I know I do. The good news is that the severity of the newest variant is less than others before it and hospitalization have not increased with the increase in cases.

We review real estate facts and future trends

The trends

We are still in a seller’s market, but changing quickly, with historically low housing inventory. So, what does that mean? That you should strongly consider working with an experienced real estate agent to give you an edge in buying or selling process. Experience is priceless and for a buyer it costs you nothing but can save you much.

The facts

Here are facts of our current Minnesota real estate market. Our current housing affordability Index for Minnesota real estate for April was 102, and this compares to 144 this same time last year. The number of 102 is the lowest ever recorded. The higher the number means the greater home buying affordability in the Twin Cities. So, this trend is not positive at all. Our current inventory of homes for sale is 6,772. Of that number 38 % is new construction with the majority of those yet to be built. So, the real number of available homes to buy right now is much lower than 6,772. In comparison, we had 6,472 in 2021. So, the inventory of homes for sale is up 4.6 % from last year. This is the new trend with interest rates on the rise! A point of interest, in 2009 at the time of our first real estate correction in 40 years, we had over 36,000 homes for sale in the seven county Minneapolis/Saint Paul metro area. The Minnesota real estate pending sales for the last week, which have sold but not yet closed, was 1,451. That compares to 1,715 pending home sales last year. That is a decrease of 15.4 % from the same week last year. So, forty-four of the last forty-nine weeks that number has decreased compared to the previous year. An average real estate market would have a three-to-four-month supply of housing inventory and we have 1.1 months (April figures – this will be going up in May).

More facts

Minnesota seller’s benefit financially when real estate values rise. The median sales price (April numbers) increased by 10 % since this time last year. $370,000 is now the median sales price in the Twin Cities area. A market health indicator is the comparison of our sales price to original list price. For April, the average sale to list price was 103.8 %. And that compares to 100.3 % in 2021. That number will adjust downward as we get May and June figures. For even more Minnesota real estate market information visit my website at https://www.mnrealestate.com/twin-cities-information/area-appreciation-rates/. It features a comprehensive review of our Minnesota real estate market for those that like all the data!

Our current interest rates in the Twin Cities

The low interest rates have been a real catalyst for buying power for buyers the last two years. The Federal Reserve has started raising interest rates (did again this week) and expect 2-4 more this year. They recently said they will raise rates by half a percent in June and also in July. These interest rate increases are to reduce the rate of inflation, but they will also impact what buyers can afford. Rates are about the same from last week. Borrower paid lender fees are 4.125% for VA, 4.09% for FHA and 4.85% for conventional. Rates for lender paid closing costs are 5.224% for VA, 5.033% for FHA and 5.956% for conventional. Just reach out to me if you need contact information of a lender with those interest rates.

My opinion of the future of Minnesota real estate

I have experienced many real estate markets in over 30 years of real estate, but hard to compare to the last couple of years. With inflation forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates they could go to as high 6.5 % or more by fall of this year. This is having a chilling affect on the market and what buyers can afford. Many buyers have and will decide to rent instead of buying. I predict this summer and fall that inventory will continue to be below the level needed for all buyers to find a home, but trending to a more neutral Minnesota real estate market late fall and winter.

This is a suitable time to discuss your housing needs for 2022!

Your house and neighborhood in our MN real estate market

We find that price ranges and neighborhoods have its own specific trends and facts. In so if you are interested in knowing the specifics for your home…just call Jeff.

Jeff Anderson

The Anderson Team

www.mnrealestate.com

RE/MAX RESULTS

612-386-8600